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All about REIT Introduces concepts and terminologies about REIT.

About a Reit Talks about a particular REIT. Includes latest or historical performance, its business, and more.

Books and Thoughts About investment books and thoughts after reading.

REIT Financial News Latest financial news related to REIT

Commentary Commentary about news or trends affecting the REITs, or about the Market in general.

General Investment Tips, guide or thoughts about investment in general.

Sunday, January 31, 2010

REIT Financial News - 31 Jan 2010: K-REIT ACQUISITION OF 50% INTEREST IN PRIME COMMERCIAL BUILDING IN BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA

K-REIT ASIA: ACQUISITION OF 50% INTEREST IN PRIME COMMERCIAL BUILDING IN BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA. See press release and report.

Key Points
  • 275 George Street is a 30-storey Grade A freehold office development located in a prime location straddling the core retail precinct and the revitalised George Street precinct of the Brisbane’s Central Business District (“CBD”).
  • The purchase consideration of the Property is A$166.0 million or approximately S$208.6 million (the “Purchase Consideration”).
  • Pro Forma Distribution per Unit will increase from current 5.28 cents to 6.30 cents.
  • Pro Forma Net Asset Value (“NAV”) will stay at 1.47 cents.
  • The Acquisition will be funded entirely by equity with the proceeds from the rights issue completed by K-REIT Asia in November 2009.
  • K-REIT Asia’s aggregate leverage is expected to improve from 27.7%
    to 25.2% after the completion of the Acquisition.






Saturday, January 30, 2010

All about REIT - Net Asset Value (NAV) and Asset Valuation

Previously I have wrote about gearing and yield, two basic figures that are usually used in assessing a Reit. The Net Asset Value (NAV) per unit is another basic figure that is frequently used in assessing a Reit. NAV is the total assets minus the total liabilities of the Reit. NAV per unit is simply the NAV of the Reit divided by the total number of units in issue. Theoretically, the NAV per unit is the remaining assets of the Reit in which the unit holders will receive per unit in the event that the Reit is liquidated, and after its assets were sold off and used to pay off existing debts to debtors and bond holders. In practice this is usually not true, reason of which I shall elaborate in the section on Asset Valuation.

Determining NAV and NAV per unit from Financial Reports
To get the latest NAV, you should refer to the Balance Sheet statement of the latest quarterly earnings report. The Balance Sheet statement will list all the assets and liabilities of the latest quarter, and somewhere below the statement there should be an item call Net Assets or Net Asset Value, which is the NAV. Otherwise, the NAV can also be easily calculated by deducted total liabilities from the total assets.

The earnings report will usually list the assets and liabilities for the same quarter of the previous year alongside figures of the latest quarter. This will give you an idea of how much the NAV has changed over the year, and which item is the main cause of it. Example, the NAV may have reduced drastically due to devaluation of the property assets. In this case you should see a huge reduction in the item "Investment Properties" under "Non-Current Assets" compared to the a year ago. For a real life example you can refer to the 4Q 2009 earnings report of Capital Commercial Trust. There is a page showing the Balance Sheet as at 31 December 2009 vs 31 December 2008. The Investment properties has dropped by 17.1% to about S$5.5 billion in Dec 09 from about S$6.7 billion in Dec 08. The Net assets shows a drop of 4.8% to about S$3.9 billion from about S$4.1 billion. The drop in NAV is not as drastic as the investment properties because of the payment of debts which reduces the liabilities. This info can also be found in the balance sheet, under the Long Term and Short Term borrowings.

The NAV per unit is usually quoted in the earnings report. Otherwise it can be easily calculated by dividing the NAV determined above by the total number of units in issue.

Asset Valuation
The asset valuation of the investment properties of a Reit is one of the most important factors that impact the NAV. Section 8 of Appendix 2 in the MAS Code on Collective Investment Schemes contains the details about Valuation of the Property Fund’s Real Estate Investments.

As mentioned above, in the event that a Reit is liquidated, the unit holder should get back assets equivalent to the NAV per unit. However, this is usually not true in practice and one of the reason is closely related to the frequency of valuation of the properties. Following are 2 related sections in the MAS code covering the frequency of valuation:

"8.1 A full valuation of each of the property fund’s real estate assets should be conducted by a valuer at least once a year, in accordance with any applicable Code of Practice for such valuations."
                                                                                   
"8.2 Where the Manager proposes to issue new units for subscription or redeem existing units, and the property fund’s real estate assets were valued more than 6 months ago, the Manager should exercise discretion in deciding whether to conduct a desktop valuation of the real estate assets, especially when market conditions indicate that real estate values have changed materially."


From the above, we find that the Reit is only required to do a valuation of its assets once per year. So the NAV we see in the earnings report could sometimes be outdated by several months, and does not reflect the true value the property will fetch if it is to be sold in the market. This is especially so if the property sector is in a severe down trend, like what has happened to the office sector in the past few quarters.

Desktop valuation mentioned above means a valuation based on transacted prices/yields of similar real estate assets, without a physical inspection of the property. Sometimes we will see Desktop valuation being used in Analyst reports of a Reit, in which the analyst will try to give a more updated estimate of the asset valuation of the properties based on the latest transacted price of similar properties, usually properties in nearby locations that are of a similar grade.

Related Posts


Stock Target Price - Updated Target Price after earnings report Q4 2009

Updated target price of a number of Reits by analysts after their latest earnings report.

Latest updates at Stock Target Price

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

REIT Financial News - 26 Jan 2010: Launch of Private Placement of 137.0 million New Units in Frasers Centrepoint Trust

Launch of Private Placement of 137.0 million New Units in Frasers Centrepoint Trust.  See report.

This is following the earlier report FrasersCT Proposed Acquisitions of Northpoint 2 and YewTee Point. FCT will be doing a Private Placement for the Equity Fund Raising to partially fund the acquisitions. The issue price is between S$1.29 and S$1.33 per New Unit.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

REIT Financial News - K-REIT Asia Financial Results for 4Q FY2009/10

K-REIT Asia - Financial Results for 4Q FY2009/10 ending 31 Dec 2009. Related reports:
Key Points
  • DPU for the quarter at 1.45 cents.
  • The upcoming semi-annual distribution is 2.77 cents.
  • The Trust’s net asset value (NAV), after adjusting for the 2H 2009 distributable income to unitholders, is S$1.47 per unit as at 31 December 2009.
  • Latest gearing is at 27.7%.
  • Portfolio’s committed occupancy was 95% as at 31 December 2009, down from 99% last year .
  • Books will be closed at 5.00 p.m. on Thursday, 28 January 2010 at 5.00 p.m for the purpose of determining unitholders' entitlements.
  • Distribution will be paid on Thursday, 25 February 2010.
Author's Note
Based on the closing price of 1.18 on Jan 19, the semi-annual DPU of 2.77 cents represents an annualized yield of 4.69%. Gearing is at 27.7%. Latest NAV per unit is S$1.47.

The cash raised in the latest rights issue has not been fully utilized. K-Reit currently has about S$575,549 million in cash and cash equivalents. We will have to wait and see whether this will be used in repayment of debts or further acquisitions or both.

REIT Financial News - CapitaCommercial Trust Financial Results for 4Q FY2009/10

CapitaCommercial Trust - Financial Results for 4Q FY2009/10 ending 31 Dec 2009. Related reports:
Key Points
  • DPU for the quarter at 1.88 cents.
  • Add to the DPU of 1.85 cents in the last quarter, the upcoming semi-annual distribution is estimated to be 3.73 cents.
  • Following an independent valuation as at 31 December 2009, there is a net decrease of S$327.6 million or 5.4% in the fair value of the Trust’s investment properties compared to its last valuation on 22 May.
  • The value of its investment properties and total assets is now S$5.7 billion and S$6.1 billion respectively. 
  • The Trust’s net asset value (NAV), after adjusting for the 2H 2009 distributable income to unitholders, is S$1.37 per unit as at 31 December 2009.
  • Latest gearing is at 33%.
  • Grade A properties continued to record an increase in occupancy from 97.9% last quarter to 98.7% this quarter.
  • Overall portfolio has achieved a committed occupancy of 94.8%, up from 94.0% in the third quarter of 2009.
  • Books will be closed at 5.00 p.m. on Tuesday, 29 January 2010 for the purpose of determining unitholders' entitlements.
  • Distribution will be paid on Friday, 26 February 2010.
Author's Note
Based on the closing price of 1.18 on Jan 19, the semi-annual DPU of 3.73 cents represents an annualized yield of 6.32%. Gearing is at 33%, up from around 31% previously. Latest NAV per unit is S$1.37, down from S$1.49 previously.

Please take note of the related news about the CCT's sale of Robinson Point and the potential impact on DPU and NAV.

REIT Financial News - 19 Jan 2010: Sale of Robinson Point

CCT, has on 19 January 2010 entered into a Sale and Purchase Agreement with
AEW VIA SPV4 Pte. Ltd., a special purpose vehicle wholly-owned by a private fund managed by AEW Asia (a subsidiary of AEW Capital Management L.P.) for the sale of Robinson Point for the Sale Consideration of S$203.25 million.


See full report.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

REIT Financial News - Date of Release of Q4 2009 Results

Ascendas ReitJan 18
CapitaCommercialJan 20
K-Reit AsiaJan 20
Ascott Residence TrustJan 21
Mapletree Logistics TrustJan 21
Ascendas India TrustJan 22
CapitaMall TrustJan 22
First ReitJan 22
ParkwayLifeJan 22
Suntec ReitJan 25
CDL Hospitality TrustsJan 26
Fortune ReitJan 26
Cambridge Industrial TrustJan 27
Starhill GlobalJan 28
CapitaRetail China TrustJan 29
AIMS AMPCapFeb 5


Update Release Date for Fortune Reit.

Stock Target Price - Updated Target Price for Ascendas Reit

Updated latest target price of Ascendas Reit:

DBS Vickers:
Maintains HOLD with TP of S$2.05 (Previously S$ 2.01).

Kim Eng:
Maintains HOLD with TP of S$2.02 (maintained).



Latest updates at Stock Target Price

Monday, January 18, 2010

REIT Financial News - Ascendas Reit Financial Results for 3Q FY2009/10 ending 31 Dec 2009

Ascendas Reit - Financial Results for 3Q FY2009/10 ending 31 Dec 2009. Related reports:
Key Points
  • DPU for the quarter at 3.27 cents compared with 2.88 cents in 3Q FY2008/09.
  • Occupancy rate for the portfolio moderated slightly to 96.5% from 96.8% a quarter ago.
  • As at 31 December 2009, A-REIT has a portfolio of 91 properties with a total asset value of about S$4.8b.
  • The Manager is in the process of refinancing its S$300m term loan facility due in March 2010.
  • As at 31 December 2009, the weighted average cost of funding is about 3.91% with a healthy aggregate leverage of 31.2%.
  • Latest Net Asset Value (NAV) per unit is S$1.61.
  • Books will be closed at 5.00 p.m. on Tuesday, 26 January 2010 for the purpose of determining unitholders' entitlements.
  • Distribution will be paid on Friday, 26 February 2010.
Author's Note
Based on the closing price of 2.02 on Jan 18, the DPU of 3.27 cents represents an annualized yield of 6.48%. Gearing is at 31.2%. Latest NAV per unit is S$1.61.

Monday, January 11, 2010

REIT Financial News - 11 Jan 2010: AIMSAMPI Reit completes acquisition of AMP Capital Properties

The Manager of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT is pleased to announce that the acquisition of each of 23 Tai Seng Drive, 3 Toh Tuck Link, 56 Serangoon North Avenue 4 and 30/32 Tuas West Road has been completed today. See report.

The Manager of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT is pleased to announce that S$69.2 million out of the gross proceeds from the Rights Issue has been used. See report.

Saturday, January 9, 2010

About a Reit - Ascendas India Trust is not a Reit Part 2

Historical Performance
This is actually part 2 of the previous posting About a Reit - Ascendas India Trust is not a Reit. You are strongly encouraged to read part 1 first, as it covers more about the background of a-iTrust. Part 2 is more about its historical perfomance. As mentioned in Part 1, Ascendas India Trust is a property business trust that owns IT parks in India. Although it is not registered as a Reit, it has voluntarily adopted some of the Reit guidelines such as 35% (60% with corporate rating) gearing and minimum 90% dividend payout ratio. So how has this property trust fared since its IPO in August 2007? In this posting, I shall cover some periods of major stock movements of a-iTrust. Of course we know that past performance is not indicative of the future performance, but historical performance may sometimes offer us a good point of reference to access a stock.

IPO and Honeymoon Period
The trust was listed in SGX in 1 August 2007 at an offer price of S$1.18. The property trust actually encompassed 2 of the hottest investment themes at that time, namely, Reit and India. Anything to do with Reit and India had been enjoying a good run up. Ascendas India Trust also had the advantage of being another Trust under the Ascendas brand name, the other being the highly successful Ascendas Reit at that time. On top of that, it was listed when the market was extremely euphoric, and on retrospect, just 2 or 3 months before the all time peak of the market. So it was not surprising that it was able to achieved a closing price of S$1.55 on the first day of trading. The stock eventually peaked at S$1.7 about 3 months later. In the prospectus the project annual DPU was about 68.5 cents. At S$1.7, the yield was only about 4%. Market was indeed willing to pay a premium for this stock at that time. 

Fast to go up, Fast to do down
Way back in early 2008, I have done quite a bit of read up about a-iTrust. My conclusion then was that it was fundamentally strong, with gearing at only 4%, and like Ascendas Reit, it has a strong sponsor Ascendas Pte Ltd. It also owned sizable land parcels that can be developed in the future to increase its leasable space.

The peak of its stock price was about 1.70 around Nov 2007.  At about 1.10 around Apr to May 2008, it seems to be an attractive price.

Rather to my surprise, its stock price started to move down from above the 1.10 level in May 2008 to around the 0.70 level within a relatively short time, even before the collapse of Lehman. The stock price bottomed around 0.38 in Oct 2008. It was probably link to the depreciation of rupees and conditions of the Indian economy at that time. 

Boosted by the Improvement of the Political Climate
The stock price started to move up in a significant way around May 2009 after the Indian General Election 2009, when Manmohan Singh, who is pro-economic reforms, was re-elected as the Prime Minister. The stock price was up from around 0.5 level to the 0.7 level. Following this, the stock was able to maintain a general uptrend along with the broader market. 

Selling by Great Eastern
Another significant movement of the stock price was in the Aug 2009 period, when it moved down from 0.85 to around 0.745. This was due to signicant selling by the substantial shareholder Great Eastern, which reduced its stake from 5.99% to 4.95%. But the stock price rebounded quite quickly to above the 0.8 level soon after. Those who dared to take position at 0.745 would have made a handsome profit. There was also the extra bonus in the form of the semi annual dividend distribution soon after. Of course as retail investors we can only speculate at the reasons for the sell down and make intelligent guesses of the bottom.

Recent Uptrend
In the most recent CD (cum dividend) period in Oct 2009, the stock has enjoyed a run up above 0.9. Following the XD in Nov 2009, the stock has dipped to a low of 0.85. But after that the stock has steadily moved up along with the broader market, and temporarily became a S$1 stock again last week.

Based on the latest closing price of 0.990 and the latest half yearly dividend of 3.91 cents per share, the yield of a-iTrust is currently about 7.9%, higher than most of the Reits. The latest NAV per unit is 0.84. Latest gearing is at 13%, lower than most of the Reits.

Conclusion
Although the fundamentals of this property trust is quite strong, one has to take note of its low trading volume (relative to other Reits) and sudden big movements at times. If you are serious about this stock, it may pay to catch up with news about the Indian economy and to a certain extent the polical climate, and also the strength of the rupee vs the singapore dollar.

In recent times, I have read some articles that are very bullish about the Indian Economy. It remains to be seen whether there is going to be another run up of India related investments again.

Thursday, January 7, 2010

REIT Financial News - 7 JAN 2010: FrasersCT Proposed Acquisitions of Northpoint 2 and YewTee Point

7 January 2010 - Frasers Centrepoint Asset Management Ltd. (the "Manager"), the manager of Frasers Centrepoint Trust (“FCT”), is pleased to announce the proposed acquisitions of Northpoint 2 and YewTee Point. Details in report and press release

Key Points
  • The purchase consideration for Northpoint 2 is S$164.55 million.
  • The purchase consideration for YewTee Point is S$125.65 million.
  • The Manager proposes an equity fund raising (“EFR”) of up to 152.0 million new units ("New Units") to part finance the acquisitions with the balance to be funded by borrowings.
  • FCT Unitholders will meet in an Extraordinary General Meeting (“EGM”) scheduled on 25 Jan 2010 to vote on the proposed transactions.
  • FCT’s portfolio value will grow from S$1.2 billion to S$1.5 billion.
  • The Equity Fund Raising may comprise any one or a combination of two or more of the following: 
    • a placement of New Units to institutional and other investors (the "Private Placement")
    • an offering of New Units to retail investors in Singapore through the
      automated teller machines of participating banks (the "ATM Offering")
    • a non-renounceable preferential offering of New Units to the then Unitholders on a pro rata basis (the "Preferential Offering")



Wednesday, January 6, 2010

General Investment - Using CPF to buy shares (CPF Investment Scheme CPFIS-OA)

Recently I have completed my first trade buying shares using CPF. My idea was to buy some divdend stocks like Reits with yields that are significantly higher than 2.5%, the yield of CPF ordinary account above the first $20,000. I feel that buying shares using CPF is not as straight forward as say buying unit trust. There are a number of things to consider such as stock limit, trading and settlement issues, what happens if there is a rights issue, etc. The relevant information is also not easy to find as it seems to be scattered everywhere, some with CPF, some with the CPF agent banks, and some with the brokerages. I have decided to compile and share what I have found out and gone through as follows:

Open a CPF Investment Account
If you do not already have a CPF Investment Account, you need to open one with one of the following CPFIS agent banks:
  • DBS Bank
  • OCBC Bank
  • UOB Bank
Note that you can only maintain one CPF Investment Account at any one time. As a suggestion you should open the account with the bank in which you already have internet banking access, as it may allow you to view your CPF investment portfolio or transfer money from CPF investment account back to your CPF account online.

Link your CPF Investment Account to your Trading Account
You should have a CPF investment account no. after the investment account has been opened successfully. If you are applying for a new trading account with a brokerage, there should be a field in the application forms to fill up the CPF investment account no. This will link the CPF investment account no. to your trading account when it has been opened. If you already have a trading account, you can simply provide the CPF investment account no. to your broker for the link up. Depending on the brokerages, some will allow the link up simply by providing your trading account no. and CPF investment account no. via a call or even email.

Note that linking the CPF investment account to your trading account may take some time. You should check with your broker whether the linking has been done before you start buying shares using your CPF.

Check that you have sufficient CPF funds
Before you start buying shares using your CPF, you should check whether there is sufficient funds in your CPF Ordinary Account. You should take note of the following CPF rules related to CPF investment:
  • From 1 May 2009, only monies in excess of $20,000 in your Ordinary Account and $30,000 in your Special Account can be invested.
  • Up to 35% of investible savings can be invested in Shares, Property Funds (or real estate investment trusts) and Corporate Bonds.
You should always check the CPF website www.cpf.gov.sg for any updates in the rules for CPF investment.

It will be much easier to keep track of what is the available funds for investment if you have internet access to the CPF portal @ www.cpf.gov.sg:
  • Logon to www.cpf.gov.sg
  • Click on the "My Statement" link at the left panel
  • You should see your account balances on top. Somewhere below you should see the section "Section C Net Amount Used & Amount Available". In the section, there is a part for "investment". The heading "Investment" is a link. Click on it for more CPF Investment reports.
    • You should also click on the link "[Please read] Important information to note before investing your CPF savings!" for more information. 
  • In the "My Statement - Investment" page that appears, there is a link "I wish to view  My CPF Investment Scheme (CPFIS) Stock and Gold Limits Computation". Click on this link.
  • A report will show up which computes what is the available funds for investment. For stocks investment, you can look at "Step 2: How much can I invest in stocks & gold now?". You should see a statement like the following: 
    • You can invest $XX,XXX.XX in stocks, the lower of (A) or (C).
  • So the above figure will be how much you can use to buy stocks. Note that the figure above may not include any outstanding transactions done very recently using your CPF ordinary account. You should also take note if you are planning to use your CPF ordinary account soon for other purposes like buying properties. 
Trading and Settlement
Now how to buy and sell shares using CPF will very much depend on your brokerages. What I am describing here is based on the POEMS online trading. You should check your own brokerage website for details.

To buy shares using POEMS online trading, simply check on the CPF checkbox when placing your buy orders. Same goes for selling of shares. Note that not all counters will show the CPF checkbox as not all stocks are can be purchased using CPF. Following is a related extract from the POEMS FAQ:
"The counter must be a CPF trustee stock in order for you to be able to use your CPF OA funds to trade. You can identify CPF trustee stocks when you login to POEMS, click on STOCKS > Price. There will be a key symbol next to the counter name to indicate that it is a CPF trustee stock."

After buying the stocks, the settlement should be automatically done between the brokerage and CPF. You can also verify the transaction online using the CPF portal. In the latest transactions statement, there should be a record marked with the transaction code "INV", probably one day after you have purchased the stocks.

For selling of stocks, the proceeds will go to your CPF investment account first instead of directly to your CPF account. Following is an extracted FAQ in CPF website about this:

Q: How do I transfer the cash balance in my CPF Investment Account to my Ordinary Account?

A: You may do so at any time using your agent bank's facilities (e.g. ATMs or phone-banking facilities). You may also make the transfer over the counter at the bank. Your agent bank will also automatically transfer the cash balance held in your CPF Investment Account to your CPF Ordinary Account (at the end of the month) if your Investment Account has been inactive (i.e. if you have not made any investment transactions) for two consecutive months. If you have been unsuccessful in an IPO application, your agent bank will transfer the unused CPF for the IPO application to your Ordinary Account at the end of the month.

I think it is better to transfer the funds back to your CPF account asap rather than wait for two months as you may lose out in interest for the CPF account.

Rights Issue

What happens if there is a rights issue for the stock bought using CPF? This is not an unlikely event especially if you have used CPF to buy Reits. Following are some important things to take note:
  • You cannot accept the rights through CDP or ATM, like what you do for cash investment.
  • You can only accept the rights via your CPF agent bank. By right your agent bank should send you the relevant forms. If not, you should contact your agent bank asap as there is a deadline for acceptance of rights. 
  • You can only accept the rights with your CPF funds. If you do not have
    sufficient CPF funds or the stock limit is breached (refer to above section "Check that you have sufficient CPF funds"), you should top-up your CPF account using cash through the agent bank.
Note that once you top-up your CPF account using cash, the process is irreversible, and the money will stay within your CPF funds.  Following is an extracted FAQ in CPF website about this:

Q: Can I top-up my CPF Investment Account under CPFIS-OA with cash if I do not have sufficient CPF savings for investment?       

A: No, cash top-ups are not allowed, except in the case of taking up entitlements or conversion of entitlements. You may top-up your CPF Investment Account through your agent bank if you have insufficient CPF savings or stock limit to subscribe for the entitlements or conversion. However, such cash top-ups are not withdrawable or refundable, even if your applications are unsuccessful.


The last part is especially important. Make sure you have the rights, be sure of the correct number of rights you have and the amount of shortfall in funds  before topping up your CPF account with cash. Otherwise your cash will remain in your CPF account for no reason.

For subscription of excess rights using CPF funds, I am not absolutely sure whether it is allowed in general, but i do come across a few rights issue information or FAQ that says it is allowed. But I will probably not do it if I have insufficient CPF funds and need to top-up using cash, as if you fail to get the excess rights, your money will become part of your CPF account and will not be refunded as cash.

Trading of Rights
Following is an extract from the POEMS FAQ page pertaining to the buying of rights using CPF funds:


"For CPF Rights issue trade you can only sell off the rights or exercise it base on what is credited into the CPF Investment Scheme account, You will not be able to purchase it using CPF funds through the trading account."

I am not absolutely sure whether it is a general rule that you cannot buy rights using CPF funds as I am unable to find relevant info in the CPF website. But I do come across this restriction being quoted in a few rights issue information or FAQ. If you really want to buy rights using CPF, you may want to check with your brokerage.

Following is an extract from the POEMS FAQ page pertaining CPF Rights issue trade. Since buying of rights using CPF is not allowed, this should refers to selling of rights:

"To conduct CPF Rights issue trade, you would be required to conduct a cash trade then contact your trading representative within the same trading day to convert it to a CPF trade. If you have not provided your CPF Investment bank account details, please provide the details to your trading representative on the same trading day."

Once again you may want to check with your brokerage for the actual procedure.


I believe there are still some information that I have not covered. If you have any additional information to add on, feel free to make a comment.

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Stock Target Price - Target price updates by OCBC

Updated target price and recommendations by OCBC for Ascendas Reit, Ascott Reit, Capitacomm, FrasersCT, LippoMaple Trust, MapletreeLog, SUNTEC Reit.
 
Latest updates at Stock Target Price

Monday, January 4, 2010

Stock Movement - 4 JAN 2010: Starhill Global surges up to 0.55 despite demise of Reit Manager's CEO

Starhill Global closes at day high of 0.55 (+0.025) on 4 Jan 2010 at high volume of 15,304,000 units. This is despite the news of demise of Franklin Heng, CEO of the Reit's Manager, YTL Pacific Star REIT Management Limited, released on 31 Dec 2009. The previous week, the stock was sold down to as low as 0.505 at high volume - refer to Stock Movement - Starhill Global Reit in Top 10 Volume Today.The closing price of 0.55 is also the highest for the past one month plus.

Author's Note
Apparently some has thought that the demise of the Reit manager's CEO will send the stock price lower, but the stock price has gone up substantially instead. It may be that either the sell down has already happened the previous week, or market has decided that the demise of the CEO will not have a significant impact on the fundamentals of the Reit. The stock was largely trading at 0.510 in the previous week. Those who have 'bravely' bought it would have made a handsome profit today. It remains to be seen whether this stock will finally see some light after a downtrend, followed by up and down ride since the middle of November when its acquisition plans were announced.

Books and Thoughts - The Richest Man In Babylon

The Richest Man in BabylonI was given the book, "The Richest Man In Babylon" by George S. Clason, at a money management workshop I have attended. I think bookshops and libraries will probably place this book in the investment or finance section. However, you will be in for a surprise if you are expecting to find things like investment tips and strategies or stock picking skills that you will usually find in a book about investment. In fact it is made up of several parable-like stories in the setting of ancient Babylon. While a parable is a short story that conveys a moral lession, the stories in this book are trying to convey some fundamental money management wisdom that are timeless. It is a very thin book and easy to read.  In fact I think even children can read it like reading a story book, and at the same time gain some ideas about money management at a young age.


There are 2 recurring concepts mentioned in the book that I find very useful:

1. Keep a part of all you earned for yourself
The guideline given in the book is one tenth of your earnings. The primary idea is to keep part of your earnings for investment, or as savings such that it can grow to become substantial enough for investment. I have come across similar ideas in Robert Kiyosaki's "Rich Dad Poor Dad", which mentions that you should pay yourself first before paying your bills.

2. Learn to make your treasure work for you, make it your slave. Make its children and its children's children work for you.
Here it is saying that you should let your money work for you through investment. The interests and dividends earned from the investment are the children of your money, and you should let them work further to produce more children. This concept ties in closely with the idea of compound interest. Slavery is of course a cruel thing, but i guess its use in the story for illustration purpose is in line with the setting in ancient babylon. In fact, it will form a more vivid picture of how your money is working for you than just mentioning the term compound interest.

Application - Keep a part of all you earned for yourself
To keep a part of all you earned for yourself, and to grow it for investment, it will very much depend on how you handle the income and expenses part of your cash flow equation. Increasing the income and reducing expenses will help you save more. If you can keep more than one tenth, you can of course grow your seed money for investment faster. You should also read up on books about personal financial management to understand how much money you should save aside for emergency purposes, and the amount of risk you should take. In the book, there is a character who saved one tenth of his earnings for a year, only to lose it all because he has asked a brick layer to help invest his money in jewels. Of couse the character learned from his mistakes in that he should ask the jewel merchants about jewels, not the brick-maker. So he saved for another year, invested wisely this time round, and managed to make a good return on his investment subsequently.

Application - Make your money work for you
As I read the book about making your money and its children work for you, dividend investing came to my mind as a good way to put this concept into practice. Dividends are the children of your investment, and you can use them for investment to grow more dividends. So invest in a good dividend-yielding stock and reinvest the dividend into the stock may be a good idea. Of course for most of the retail investors like us, the quarterly dividend may be too little to be practical for reinvestment into stocks as transactions incur commission cost. Following are some practical suggestions I can think of:
  • Script Dividend: Some stocks such as OCBC offer the script dividend scheme. What it does is that instead of giving you the dividend, it will use the dividend to buy and issue you new shares, usually at a discounted price. The downside is that the scheme may be stopped anytime. For example, First Ship Lease Trust offered this scheme for only one quarterly distribution last year. Another downside is that the stock may grow to become too big a percentage of your investment portfolio.
  • Unit Share Market: Phillips Securities offers the Unit Share Market, in which you can buy as little as 1 share of a stock. The commission is also lower. From my experience one transaction is around $10 compare to about $28 in the normal market. Downside is that the spread between buying and selling price tends to be very big.
  • DBS STI ETF 100: This is an exchange traded fund (ETF) recently launched by DBS that tracks the Straits Times Index. Its board lot is 100, so at the current pricing you can get one lot at around $200 to $300. In the recent quarter it has announced a dividend of $0.03 per share. Downside is that since it is a fund of other stocks, the amount of dividend may not be as easy to gauge as a single stock.
  • Stocks with smaller board lots: Some dividend yielding stocks offer smaller board lots, example Singtel 10, Singtel 100, SBS Transit 500. You can get one lot at around few hundred dollars. Downside is the commission charges may make up a relatively higher percentage of the transaction.
  • Money Market Fund:The MMF is a unit trust that invests in high-quality short-term instruments and debt securities such as Fix Deposits. The Cash Fund of Fundsupermart, Phillips MMF, LionGlobal SGD MMF are some MMFs in the market. At the current low interest environment, these funds are yielding slightly more than 1%, which is rather low. So I will consider putting money in MMF as savings rather than investment. But it is a good place to park your money instead of in Fix Deposits for a potential better yield, if there are no good investment opportunities for the time being. The units can also be liquidated easily. For example you can sell your Fundsupermart Cash Fund units anytime and get the money on the next working day.
The above are just some suggestions, and of course you must research into them to be sure of what you are investing into, so that you do not end up like the character mentioned above who lost one whole year of savings.

Richest Man in Babylon - The Success Secrets of the Ancients    

Friday, January 1, 2010

About a Reit - Ascendas India Trust is not a Reit

If you have checked the SGX website, under the Prices, Indices, Statistics - REITs, you would have noticed that Ascendas India Trust is listed alongside the other REITs. Similarly, also in the SGX website under Products - REITs - Listed Reits, Ascendas India Trust is also listed there. But in actual fact, Ascendas India Trust (a-iTrust) is not a Reit, but it is a Business Trust. As mentioned in the previous posting All about REITs - REIT, Business Trust, and Shipping Trust, there are some differences between a Reit and a Business Trust. A Business Trust is not under the guidelines stated in the MAS Code on Collective Investment Schemes. However, a-iTrust has self-imposed some of these guidelines totally or partially:

  • Although there is no gearing limit for a Business Trust, a-iTrust has imposed upon itself the same gearing limits as Reit. So it has a gearing limit of 35%, and up to 60% if it has a credit rating. But different from a Reit, it can also have a gearing limit of 60% without a credit rating if there is approval from the unitholders.
  • As a Business Trust, it does not have a minimum payout ratio. However, a-iTrust will follow the Reit in distributing at least 90% of its distributable income.
  • As a Business Trust, it does not have a limit on property development activities. For Reit, the limit is 10%, and the major part of its business should be in the form of property rental. Like a Reit, a-iTrust has imposed a limit on property development activities upon itself, but instead of 10% it has set it to 20%.
As for the roles of trustee and manager, a-iTrust is like the other Business Trust in having a single trustee-manager.

About a-iTrust
From the a-iTrust website:
"a-iTrust is a Singapore-based business trust ("BT") registered by the MAS established with the principal objective of owning income-producing real estate used primarily as business space in India, and real estate-related assets in relation to the foregoing. a-iTrust may acquire, own and develop land or uncompleted developments to be used primarily for business space with the objective of holding the properties upon completion."

The sponsor of a-iTrust is Ascendas Pte Ltd, a unit of Singapore government-owned industrial landlord JTC Corp. Ascendas Pte Ltd is also the sponsor of Ascendas Reit.


Property Portfolio and Growth

Currently a-iTrust has a portfolio of 4 IT Parks in Bangalore, Chennai and Hyderabad, with main tenants from the IT and ITES (IT-enabled services) sectors:
  • International Tech Park Bangalore (ITPB)
  • International Tech Park Chennai (ITPC)
  • CyberPearl
  • The V
There are 3 more buildings being developed and to be completed over the next 2 years:
  • Zenith - Third building in ITPC. Expected completion 2nd half 2010.
  • Park Square Retail Mall - In ITPB. Expected completion mid 2010.
  • Multi-tenanted - 3rd office building in ITPB. Expected completion mid 2011.
These development projects will bring in additional 1.7 million square feet of incoming producing space, a 35% increase over the existing portfolio. On top  of these, there is some more land within ITPB, which after development, can potentially bring in an additional 2.5 million square feet of incoming producing space.

In terms of acquisition growth, a-iTrust has a rights of first refusal agreement with Ascendas India Development Trust and Ascendas Land International Pte Ltd, both of which are units under its Sponsor Ascendas Pte Ltd. It can also acquire properties from the open market if there are opportunities.

Risks
Attractive as it may be, a-iTrust is not without its own set of risks. Following are some of the risks to take note of:
  • Country Risk. Since all its assets are in India, its fortune will be closely tied to the economic, and to a certain extent the political situation in India.
  • Sector Risk. Its IT Parks tenant portfolio is concentrated in the IT and ITES sectors. Any downturn in these sectors will strongly impact the occupancy rates.
  • Currency Risk. The rental income is in the Indian rupees. Any depreciation will reduced the dividend distribution in Singapore dollars. To manage currency visibility on the distribution to Unitholders, it has a currency hedging strategy of at least one year in advance. The rate hedged for May 2010 distribution is Rs 33.47 to S$ 1.


    Stock Movement - 31 DEC 2009: Ascendas Reit continues to surge higher at high volume. (Close $2.220, +0.130)

    Following the previous report last week: Stock Movement - Ascendas Reit is a $2.00 stock again, Ascendas Reit continues to surge higher at high volume in the last trading day of 2009. The stock closes at $2.220, and at +0.130 over the closing price of the previous day, it is a jump of almost 6.2%. Trading volume was in the top 20 list at 13,058,000 units, even higher than the 11,359,000 units on Dec 23. Not to forget that this was achieved on a half-day trading day.

    Author's Word
    Not only was Ascendas Reit able to maintain above $2 level for the past few days since Dec 23, it has managed to close at the highest stock price for the whole year at $2.22. We do not know how much of this was due to year end window dressing, but it is definitely a significant milestone for this stock.

    Stock Movement - Listings

    Stock Movement - 4 JAN 2010: Starhill Global surges up to 0.55 despite demise of Reit Manager's CEO

    Stock Movement - 31 DEC 2009: Ascendas Reit continues to surge higher at high volume. (Close $2.220, +0.130)

    Stock Movement - Starhill Global Reit in Top 10 Volume Today

    Stock Movement - Ascendas Reit is a $2.00 stock again

    Stock Movement - Fortune Reit closes above the HK$3 toda

    Stock Movement - MacArthurCook Reit and MacArthurCook Rights

    Stock Movement - Capitacomm trends up to 52 weeks high. K-Reit breaks out of trading range.

    Stock Movement - Fortune Reit closes above the HK$2.90 level today

    Stock Movement - CapitaMall climbs back above the 1.8 level

    Stock Movement - Starhill Global in narrow trading range (close 0.525, -0.005)

    Stock Movement - Starhill Global finally breaks downtrend (close 0.53, +0.015)

    Stock Movement - Starhill Global continues downtrend (close 0.53, -0.01)

    Stock Movement - Kreit trends down after issue of rights units

    Stock Movement - Starhill Global share price drops about 4.3% after acquisition announcement

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